Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.000144 0.000160 0.000178 0.000198 0.000221 0.000245 0.000274
2025-09-21 0.000122 0.000145 0.000171 0.000202 0.000239 0.000282 0.000335
2025-09-28 0.000106 0.000132 0.000163 0.000203 0.000254 0.000315 0.000395
2025-10-05 0.000092 0.000120 0.000155 0.000202 0.000264 0.000343 0.000451
2025-10-12 0.000083 0.000113 0.000152 0.000207 0.000282 0.000381 0.000523
2025-10-19 0.000074 0.000105 0.000147 0.000207 0.000294 0.000412 0.000588
2025-10-26 0.000067 0.000098 0.000142 0.000207 0.000304 0.000441 0.000653
2025-11-02 0.000061 0.000092 0.000136 0.000206 0.000311 0.000466 0.000713
2025-11-09 0.000056 0.000087 0.000133 0.000207 0.000323 0.000498 0.000787
2025-11-16 0.000051 0.000081 0.000128 0.000204 0.000327 0.000519 0.000844
2025-11-23 0.000047 0.000077 0.000124 0.000203 0.000335 0.000545 0.000912
2025-11-30 0.000044 0.000073 0.000121 0.000204 0.000344 0.000575 0.000987
2025-12-07 0.000040 0.000069 0.000117 0.000202 0.000350 0.000600 0.001059
2025-12-14 0.000038 0.000067 0.000116 0.000205 0.000364 0.000640 0.001160
2025-12-21 0.000035 0.000064 0.000113 0.000206 0.000375 0.000676 0.001257
2025-12-28 0.000033 0.000061 0.000110 0.000204 0.000381 0.000704 0.001342
2026-01-04 0.000031 0.000059 0.000110 0.000209 0.000399 0.000753 0.001472
2026-01-11 0.000030 0.000057 0.000108 0.000209 0.000409 0.000789 0.001577
2026-01-18 0.000028 0.000055 0.000105 0.000209 0.000417 0.000822 0.001682
2026-01-25 0.000026 0.000052 0.000102 0.000207 0.000422 0.000849 0.001777
2026-02-01 0.000025 0.000050 0.000101 0.000209 0.000434 0.000891 0.001904
2026-02-08 0.000023 0.000048 0.000098 0.000205 0.000436 0.000912 0.001991
2026-02-15 0.000022 0.000046 0.000096 0.000205 0.000443 0.000944 0.002104